The Role of Predictive Analytics Technologies in Macroeconomic Policy-Making
Keywords:
Predictive analytics, macro policy-making, big data, smart governance, data-driven decision-makingAbstract
Objective: This study aims to explore the role and functions of predictive analytics technologies in improving macro-level policy-making processes and to identify the core components of this transformation within data-driven governance systems.
Methods and Materials: This qualitative review study employed a thematic analysis approach. Data were collected through a systematic review of the scientific literature published between 2018 and 2025. From the identified sources in reputable databases such as Scopus, Springer, and ScienceDirect, twelve eligible articles were selected and analyzed using NVivo 14 software. The analysis process included open, axial, and selective coding, and data collection continued until theoretical saturation was reached.
Findings: The analysis revealed three major themes: “Data-Driven Transformation in Policy-Making,” “Institutional and Managerial Capacity Building for Predictive Analytics,” and “Outcomes and Impacts of Predictive Policy-Making.” Findings indicated that predictive analytics—through big data and machine learning algorithms—enhances agility, transparency, social equity, and crisis prevention in governance systems. Moreover, institutional capacity building and analytical human capital development were identified as essential prerequisites for implementing data-driven policy-making effectively.
Conclusion: Predictive analytics technologies improve policy-making quality and governance efficiency by enabling the forecasting of trends and policy outcomes. Institutionalizing these technologies requires robust data infrastructures, organizational restructuring, data literacy enhancement among decision-makers, and the establishment of clear legal and ethical frameworks. The findings provide practical insights for policymakers to design and implement intelligent, anticipatory, and evidence-based policies.
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